Theme: 1.5 Degree
What does global warming of 1.5°C and higher mean for the countries ASSAR is working in?
The Paris Agreement has a goal of limiting global warming to well below 2°C, ideally 1.5°C. Understanding the local-level impacts of these global temperature targets is crucial for informing climate change adaptation needs and actions. To date, mitigation pledges by nations fall far short of what is needed, with the world on track for a warming of 3.2°C by the end of the century. Under an increasing emissions trajectory, the 1.5°C threshold could be breached as early as the next decade, and the 2°C mark the decade after. This means there is an urgent need for countries considered as climate change "hotspots" to adapt.
For the countries ASSAR is working in (Botswana, Namibia, Ghana, Mali, Ethiopia, Kenya and India), even a 1.5°C increase in global temperature will have severe local impacts, negatively affecting water supply, agriculture, health, and other vulnerable sectors.
ASSAR's research looks at the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C and higher on local climate conditions and key vulnerabilities in the countries we work in. (*Work is ongoing and more results will be released soon.)
What latest assessment on global warming means for southern Africa
The release of the IPCC special report on 1.5°C marks a critical point in climate negotiations, especially for climate change 'hotspots' like Botswana and Namibia in southern Africa, writes ASSAR's principal investigator, Mark New.
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