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What does global warming of 1.5°C and higher mean for the countries ASSAR is working in?

The Paris Agreement has a goal of limiting global warming to well below 2°C, ideally 1.5°C. Understanding the local-level impacts of these global temperature targets is crucial for informing climate change adaptation needs and actions. To date, mitigation pledges by nations fall far short of what is needed, with the world on track for a warming of 3.2°C by the end of the century. Under an increasing emissions trajectory, the 1.5°C threshold could be breached as early as the next decade, and the 2°C mark the decade after. This means there is an urgent need for countries considered as climate change "hotspots" to adapt. 

For the countries ASSAR is working in (Botswana, Namibia, Ghana, Mali, Ethiopia, Kenya and India), even a 1.5°C increase in global temperature will have severe local impacts, negatively affecting water supply, agriculture, health, and other vulnerable sectors.

ASSAR's research looks at the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C and higher on local climate conditions and key vulnerabilities in the countries we work in. (*Work is ongoing and more results will be released soon.)

  

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What global warming of 1.5°C
and higher means for Botswana
 

Draft information brief

Impacts of global warming of 1.5°C and higher makes adaptation a priority for Botswana
 

Journal article

Temperature and precipitation extremes under current, 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global warming above pre-industrial levels over Botswana, and implications for climate change vulnerability

What global warming of 1.5°C and higher means for Botswana Impacts of global warming of 1.5°C and higher makes adaptation a priority for Botswana Temperature and precipitation extremes under current, 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global warming above pre-industrial levels over Botswana, and implications for climate change vulnerability


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What global warming of 1.5°C
and higher means for Namibia
 


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What global warming of 1.5°C
and higher means for Kenya
 


Working paper

Determining what global warming of 1.5°C and higher means for the semi-arid regions of Africa – overview of analyses

What global warming of 1.5°C and higher means for Namibia What global warming of 1.5°C and higher means for Kenya Determining what global warming of 1.5°C and higher means for the semi-arid regions of Africa - overview of analyses

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What global warming of 1.5°C
and higher means for Ethiopia

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What global warming of 1.5°C
and higher means for Ghana

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What global warming of 1.5°C
and higher means for Mali

(English or French)

 

What global warming of 1.5°C and higher means for Botswana Impacts of global warming of 1.5°C and higher makes adaptation a priority for Botswana

 

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  • What latest assessment on global warming means for southern Africa

    The release of the IPCC special report on 1.5°C marks a critical point in climate negotiations, especially for climate change 'hotspots' like Botswana and Namibia in southern Africa, writes ASSAR's principal investigator, Mark New.

    Read the full article here